Snow Still Possible, But Don't Expect The Normal Amount

4:33 PM, Nov 21, 2013   |    comments
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GREENSBORO, N.C. -- The National Weather Service predicts this winter season will bring drought conditions for the Southwest and Southeast regions of the U.S.

The main concern - temperatures across the equatorial Pacific remain near average since spring of 2012. That means neither El Nino nor La Nina is expected to influence the climate during the winter months. 

NOAA says it's difficult to predict a winter forecast without El Nino or La Nina. That's because those climate patterns influence temperature and precipitation in the U.S.

The Precipitation Outlook favors:

  • Below-average precipitation in the Southwest, Southeast, and the Alaskan panhandle
  • Above-average precipitation in the Northern Rockies, particularly over Montana and northern Wyoming and in Hawaii

The Temperature Outlook favors:

  • Below-average temperatures in the Northern Plains, and the Alaskan Panhandle
  • Above-average temperatures in the Southwest, the South-Central U.S. , parts of the Southeast, New England and western Alaska

However, the winter outlook for the rest of the country falls into the "equal chance" category. 

According to NOAA, that means there's not a strong enough climate signal to favor one category over the others. That means those areas have an above, near, or below-normal temperatures or precipitation.

Closer Look At The Triad:

The normal amount of snow to fall in the Triad is 7.7". The greatest amount of snow typically falls in January with a normal amount of 3.4"

The coldest month in the Triad in Winter is January when the normal high temperature is 48° and the normal low temperature is 30 degrees.

While there is a slightly greater chance of being drier than normal in the Triad that doesn't mean we do not expect snow. WFMY News 2 Meteorologist Grant Gilmore explains that there continues to be the possibility of a few big winter weather events. The ability to forecast events that produce snow happens on a much smaller scale than what can be predicted months in advance.  Further, Gilmore notes, just because snow has already fall in the Triad that doesn't necessarily suggest it is going to be a snowy winter.

Stay up to date with the latest forecast, winter weather or not, on digtriad.com and WFMY News 2.

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